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OMF Q3 Deep Dive: Consumer Credit Quality, Card Growth, and Capital Allocation Drive Results

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Consumer finance company OneMain Holdings (NYSE: OMF) reported Q3 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 9.8% year on year to $1.27 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.90 per share was 18.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy OMF? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

OneMain (OMF) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.27 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.23 billion (9.8% year-on-year growth, 2.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.90 vs analyst estimates of $1.60 (18.5% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $303 million vs analyst estimates of $755 million (23.9% margin, 59.9% miss)
  • Operating Margin: 23.9%, up from 18% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $6.97 billion

StockStory’s Take

OneMain’s third quarter results were met with a significant positive market reaction, as revenue and adjusted earnings per share exceeded Wall Street expectations. Management attributed this performance to strong originations growth, disciplined underwriting, and ongoing improvements in credit quality. CEO Douglas Shulman emphasized the contribution of product innovation and expanded data analytics, highlighting a 5% year-over-year increase in originations and a 6% rise in receivables. Shulman stated, “Our customers are holding up well. Delinquencies are in line with expectations, losses continue to come down, and we really like the credit profile of the customers we are booking today.”

Looking ahead, OneMain’s forward guidance is anchored by continued focus on disciplined credit management, product innovation, and efficient capital deployment. Management expects high single-digit origination growth in the next quarter, supported by enhancements in digital tools and data-driven underwriting. CFO Jenny Osterhout noted, “All our key financial metrics move in the right direction, and we expect capital generation in 2025 will significantly exceed 2024.” The company sees opportunity to drive further value through expansion of its credit card and auto finance businesses, while maintaining a conservative risk posture amid economic uncertainty.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management identified product expansion, disciplined underwriting, and improved funding flexibility as key drivers of recent financial performance and deviations from prior trends.

  • Credit card portfolio momentum: The Brightway credit card segment surpassed one million customers, with receivables reaching $834 million. Management highlighted that the average cardholder now engages weekly with OneMain’s digital platform, and credit card net charge-offs declined nearly 300 basis points sequentially, reflecting improving underwriting and servicing.

  • Originations and analytics: Originations grew 5% year over year, supported by expanded use of granular data, new analytics, and simplified loan products. Shulman noted initiatives such as automating customer information and streamlined renewals as drivers of higher booking rates and a broader customer base without increased risk.

  • Credit quality improvement: Net charge-offs and delinquencies declined year over year, attributed to tighter underwriting and a growing share of “front book” loans originated after credit tightening in 2022. Osterhout stated that these newer vintages now comprise 92% of receivables and are performing within expectations.

  • Funding flexibility and cost reduction: The company raised $1.6 billion through two unsecured bond offerings at favorable rates, reducing secured funding mix and overall funding costs. Osterhout emphasized that these actions provided added flexibility, allowing OneMain to proactively manage maturities and support receivables growth.

  • Share repurchase program expansion: The Board authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program through 2028, with buybacks expected to become a larger part of capital return. More than 1.3 million shares have been repurchased year-to-date, exceeding 2024 levels, alongside a $0.01 increase in the quarterly dividend.

Drivers of Future Performance

OneMain’s outlook for the coming quarters is shaped by ongoing credit discipline, targeted product growth, and careful capital deployment.

  • Disciplined credit posture: Management does not anticipate loosening underwriting standards despite stable nonprime consumer trends. Shulman explained that OneMain continues to apply a 30% stress overlay in its credit models, prioritizing risk-adjusted returns and favoring growth through innovation rather than increased risk exposure.

  • Expansion of multiproduct platform: Growth in credit card and auto finance portfolios is expected to remain a core driver. Management pointed out that the card business, now at over one million customers, is strategically valuable for deepening customer relationships, while the auto finance segment is growing steadily through additional dealer partnerships and conservative underwriting.

  • Capital flexibility and funding costs: The company’s recent bond issuances and expanded forward flow agreements are expected to support future receivables growth while keeping funding costs manageable. Osterhout emphasized that lower interest expense and enhanced liquidity position OneMain to opportunistically scale lending activities and manage economic uncertainty.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the pace of origination growth and whether the company sustains high single-digit trends through product and channel innovation, (2) continued improvements in credit quality as newer loan vintages mature, and (3) the impact of expanded funding flexibility and the $1 billion share repurchase program on capital allocation. Execution on deepening customer engagement and scaling the credit card and auto finance businesses will also be key signposts.

OneMain currently trades at $59.98, up from $55.70 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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