
Ruger’s third quarter was marked by slight year-over-year sales growth but significant margin pressure, leading to a negative market reaction. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to ongoing operational changes, including investments in new manufacturing capacity and product line rationalization. CEO Todd Seyfert described the firearms market as facing “headwinds from tariff and interest rate uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and a softening job market,” which impacted discretionary consumer spending and manufacturing costs. Notably, costs associated with the new Hebron, Kentucky facility weighed on results, as did increased promotional expenses and ongoing SKU consolidation.
Is now the time to buy RGR? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Ruger (RGR) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $126.8 million vs analyst estimates of $124.2 million (3.7% year-on-year growth, 2.1% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.11 vs analyst expectations of $0.36 (69% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $2.85 million vs analyst estimates of $11.97 million (2.2% margin, 76.2% miss)
- Operating Margin: -2.7%, down from 3.1% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $506.4 million
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Ruger’s Q3 Earnings Call
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Mark Smith (Lake Street) asked about the drivers of margin pressure, with CEO Todd Seyfert attributing most of it to startup costs at the Hebron facility and a shift in product mix, rather than ongoing transformation expenses.
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Smith (Lake Street) followed up on the status of the Hebron facility, with Seyfert confirming that production is on track to begin by year-end, which should improve efficiency and cost control.
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Smith (Lake Street) questioned product mix and pricing strategy, seeking clarity on how new lines like Glenfield fit into Ruger's portfolio. Seyfert explained that Glenfield targets entry-level consumers at a lower price point, expanding the company’s reach without cannibalizing existing brands.
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Rommel Dionisio (Aegis Capital) asked about Glenfield’s brand positioning and the new Patrol rifle, with Seyfert detailing that Glenfield is aimed at value buyers while the Patrol model broadens the Gen II rifle’s appeal to new segments, not law enforcement.
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James Kostell (Cuyahoga Capital) raised questions about special edition promotions and the reintroduction of the Red Label shotgun, with Seyfert confirming plans for commemorative offerings and reaffirming the company’s commitment to U.S. manufacturing.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace and effectiveness of the Hebron facility’s production ramp-up, (2) market reception and sell-through rates of new product launches such as the Glenfield rifles and RXM pistol variants, and (3) the impact of ongoing product line rationalization on overall profitability. We will also keep a close eye on external risks, including tariff developments and shifts in consumer demand.
Ruger currently trades at $32.26, down from $43.96 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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