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SPDR Long Term Treasury Portfolio ETF (NY: SPTL )

26.38 -0.09 (-0.35%)
Streaming Delayed Price Updated: 10:50 AM EDT, Apr 18, 2024 Add to My Watchlist
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Insiders Are Bailing Out…
In this week’s Dirty Dozen we talk about speculators buying the dip in Qs along with that means for this selloff. We then discuss the very high insider sell ratio, look at active fund positioning, walk... 
Via Talk Markets
Rates Spark: The 4.5% Line In The Sand Is Breached
The US 10yr auction tailed, but the bond bulls don't seem to care. It looks like the market is playing with a change in the rate cycle discount. It's not illogical, but likely a tad early, and ignores... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds
Exposures Debt Markets
Geopolitical Tensions Lift Oil And Gold, But Little Sign Of Haven Buying In FX
US economic data surprised to the upside yesterday, and although interest rates rose as one would expect, the dollar's initial gains were pared, and the Dollar Index finished slightly lower on the... 
Via Talk Markets
Bond Market Noise Hides Tremendous Opportunity
Treasury yield levels are overwhelmingly a function of inflation. However, in the short run, a plethora of influences can explain deviations between yields and inflation. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Three Questions To Ask Any Guru Opining On The Situation In The Middle East
War has broken out in the Middle East. As usual, everyone is attempting to have an expert take on this situation. The reality is that less than one in 10,000 of the people speaking on this stuff have... 
Via Talk Markets
Treasury Bonds FAQ
While other investors fret over yesterday’s inflation we look toward tomorrow’s inflation. Assuming monthly inflation rates remain low or decline further as we suspect bonds offer an incredible... 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Patience Is A Virtue
Most strategic asset allocation strategies have produced negative returns over the last two years. A 60/40 allocation of Vanguard Total Stock and Vanguard Total Bond is down over 6%. 
Via Talk Markets
Stock Market Crash Alert: Brace Yourself for ‘The Flippening’
Brace yourself for a potential stock market crash if the Flippening gets underway. Here's what investors need to know. 
Via InvestorPlace
US 10-Year, 30-Year Yields Hit Decade Highs, Shaking 5 Treasury ETFs
The Fed maintaining higher interest rates sparked an unprecedented surge in Treasury yields, impacting borrowing costs and raising concerns about economic growth. 
Via Benzinga
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
U.S. Labor Market Activity: Slowing, Not Weakening
While the Fed has emphasized that future policy decisions—i.e., the potential for another rate hike—would be based on the “totality” of upcoming economic data, make no mistake, employment reports go to... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Ignore The Noise, This Is The Framework For The Markets Today
There are red flags out there, but these are warnings not signals that it’s time to get bearish. The purpose of investing is to make money, not miss out on gains because of a warning. So we ride this... 
Via Talk Markets
US Stock Futures Steady As Earnings Boost Sentiment, Dollar Holds Near Yearly Lows
Futures tied to major indexes trade near breakeven as upbeat corporate earnings and expectations of a soft landing scenario support market sentiment. 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Growth Stocks Win The First Half
The first half of the year is over and despite a few bank failures and three more rate hikes by the Fed, stocks and bonds both managed to produce gains in the first six months of 2023, but growth... 
Via Talk Markets
Stocks May Suffer With Rates On The Cusp Of A Surge Higher
It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, with today being a half day, and the market being closed on Tuesday. This will be a hectic week with a lot of data. Starting Monday with the ISM data for... 
Via Talk Markets
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate: Wednesday, June 14
The market continues to price the US 10-year Treasury yield at a relatively wide spread over its “fair value”, based on the average estimate of three models assembled by CapitalSpectator.com for May... 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Beware The Aftershocks
GDP growth in Germany was negative for two quarters but with the DAX still near its high, it doesn’t seem to be striking fear in the hearts of investors. I’d say European growth has downshifted but so... 
Via Talk Markets
Morgan Stanley Expects 16% Drop In S&amp;P 500 Earnings: Here's What The Investment Bank Is Bullish On
Via Benzinga
Weekly Market Pulse: Politicians Acting Badly
Should investors be worried about the impending breach of the US debt ceiling? A default would be catastrophic according to numerous news articles I’ve read recently. But maybe we should concentrate on... 
Via Talk Markets
Is The Tech Rally Nearly Over?
Investors have been piling into safe-havens lately, with growing worries over how the US debt ceiling issue will be resolved. A couple of large tech firms, Meta and Nvidia, have doubled their share... 
Via Talk Markets
The Strangest US Treasury Yield Curve In History, What's Goin On?
The 3-month to 1-month T-Bill spread is the largest in history. Simultaneously we have record or near-record inversions on bellwether spreads. 
Via Talk Markets
Spreads, Breakevens, And Risk/uncertainty As Of End-March
The 5 year Treasury-TIPS spread has come down, though it’s hard to say what this means. Risk as measured by the VIX has come down too, while uncertainty as measured by the Baker, Bloom & Davis... 
Via Talk Markets
A Shock to the System
Despite the jitters around the financial sector major indices all turned in positive performances this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4% in Friday’s session. The S&P 500 closed up 0.6%... 
Via Talk Markets
The Fed Should Hike Rates This Week And Signal For More To Come
All the focus is on whether the Fed should hike rates this week, and based on the markets, they should not only hike rates but also signal for more hikes to come. 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: What Moves Markets
While the short term trend hasn’t changed yet, the bond rally at the end of the week may have signaled that the recent short term rate uptrend is coming to an end. The trading was consistent with what... 
Via Talk Markets
Market Briefing For Thursday, Mar. 2
Blunt instruments, like Fed rate hikes, aren't impacting inflation or markets in ways many bears and economists anticipate; though it definitely is calming. 
Via Talk Markets
The 7 ETFs to Buy for the Perfect Portfolio
These seven ETFs to buy provide investors with an easily manageable portfolio that delivers good risk-adjusted returns over the long haul. 
Via InvestorPlace
Fed Tightening Cycle Near Peak? This Treasury Futures Trend Seems To Say It Could Happen
Net-short leveraged positions in 10-year Treasury futures by hedge funds have reportedly grown to the largest levels since 2019 while net-long positions taken by institutional investors have risen to... 
Via Benzinga
The Next Major Threat to Your Portfolio Just Arrived
The data is finally beginning to register that a recession is at hand. I’ve been forecasting that the U.S. economy was in recession back in November. Leading indicators and the bond market made this... 
Via Talk Markets
10 Monster Stock Market Predictions For 2023
In this year’s write-up, I will review my ten predictions for 2023. Anything can happen, but this exercise has a point, which helps me lay out a game plan and thought process for the path that may lie... 
Via Talk Markets
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned - Dec. 25
The Bank of Japan pulled a surprise on markets on Tuesday. The central bank allowed the 10-year Japanese bond to move 50 basis points either side of its zero percent target 
Via Talk Markets
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