Aerospace and defense company AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV) reported Q2 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 140% year on year to $454.7 million. On the other hand, the company’s full-year revenue guidance of $1.95 billion at the midpoint came in 2.2% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.32 per share was 6.7% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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AeroVironment (AVAV) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $454.7 million vs analyst estimates of $442.4 million (140% year-on-year growth, 2.8% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.32 vs analyst expectations of $0.34 (6.7% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $56.56 million vs analyst estimates of $54.71 million (12.4% margin, 3.4% beat)
- The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $1.95 billion at the midpoint
- Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $3.65 at the midpoint, a 25.9% increase
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $310 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $312.3 million
- Operating Margin: -15.2%, down from 12.2% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $11.48 billion
StockStory’s Take
AeroVironment’s second quarter was met with a positive market reaction, as revenue meaningfully outpaced Wall Street’s expectations. Management attributed the strong performance to integration benefits following the Blue Halo acquisition and surging demand in both its autonomous systems and space, cyber, and directed energy segments. CEO Wahid Nawabi highlighted new program wins in areas like space laser communications, missile defense, and directed energy systems as key contributors. The company also noted that a higher mix of service contracts and early-stage product investments weighed on margins, signaling a shift in its business model.
Looking ahead, AeroVironment’s guidance is influenced by expectations for continued growth in next-generation defense technologies, including unmanned aerial systems, counter-drone solutions, and space communication platforms. Management emphasized that the pipeline includes over 20 large programs with a potential value exceeding $20 billion over five years. CFO Kevin McDonnell noted that, while visibility to full-year revenue is high due to significant backlog, timing of government funding and contract execution remains a source of uncertainty. Nawabi stated, “We have worked very hard throughout the past few years to position AeroVironment for such a historic set of opportunities.”
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management cited accelerating demand in space communications, counter-drone systems, and advanced software as primary drivers of recent results, while also highlighting the impact of strategic acquisitions and new partnerships.
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Blue Halo integration progress: The acquisition of Blue Halo expanded AeroVironment’s portfolio into space technologies, directed energy, and cyber solutions. Management reported smooth integration, with new product lines already contributing to revenue and backlog growth.
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Space laser communications momentum: The company secured a $240 million contract for its long-haul space laser communication terminals, moving production from development to full-rate manufacturing. Management views this as a multibillion-dollar market and a strategic milestone in secure satellite communications.
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Counter-drone and missile defense wins: AeroVironment delivered vehicle-mounted LOCUST laser weapon systems for the U.S. Army’s directed energy program and received a $95 million contract for the Freedom Eagle One missile. These wins position the company to address a broader range of aerial threats and expand in the missile defense market.
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Launch of HALO software ecosystem: The new AeroVironment HALO platform unifies mission software for command, intelligence, and autonomous targeting. The software is hardware-agnostic and supports integration with third-party devices, aiming to drive future growth and customer adoption.
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Expanded global footprint and partnerships: Recent agreements with the Dutch Ministry of Defense and Sierra Nevada Corporation, as well as expansion into new training hubs, signal a push to diversify revenue across international markets and broader defense segments.
Drivers of Future Performance
Management expects future performance to be shaped by contract execution in core programs, continued adoption of next-generation defense technologies, and the evolving defense budget environment.
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Backlog and contract timing: AeroVironment’s substantial funded and unfunded backlog provides high revenue visibility, but the pace of converting unfunded contracts into revenue depends on government budget approvals and funding releases.
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Technology adoption and product scaling: The company anticipates growth from scaling production in advanced systems, such as space laser communications, P550 unmanned systems, and directed energy platforms. Management highlighted that rapid manufacturing capacity expansion is a priority to meet urgent customer needs.
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Competitive and budgetary risks: Management acknowledged increasing competition in key markets, particularly for unmanned aerial vehicles and drone defense. Shifts in defense spending priorities and delays in congressional budget decisions could impact the timing and magnitude of contract awards.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will watch (1) the conversion of large unfunded backlog into funded contracts and revenue, (2) updates on the adoption and deployment of new platforms such as the P550 unmanned system and HALO software, and (3) developments in government defense budgets and program awards. Successful execution on these fronts will be key indicators of AeroVironment’s ability to sustain growth and expand its leadership in advanced defense technologies.
AeroVironment currently trades at $240.29, up from $231.02 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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