· GROUP-WIDE SALES OF £2,464 MILLION UP 24 PER CENT. NEW BUSINESS PROFIT UP 21 PER CENT
|
· ROBUST GROWTH IN ASIA CONTINUES WITH YEAR TO DATE SALES UP 32 PER CENT AND YEAR TO DATE NEW BUSINESS PROFIT UP 34 PER CENT. HIGHEST THIRD QUARTER SALES FOR OUR ASIAN BUSINESS, UP 25 PER CENT
|
· SUSTAINED SALES MOMENTUM IN US. YEAR TO DATE SALES UP 33 PER CENT AT ATTRACTIVE MARGINS
|
· UK FOCUS ON VALUE OVER VOLUME CONTINUES TO DELIVER HIGHER NEW BUSINESS PROFIT, UP 14 PER CENT
|
· ASSET MANAGEMENT NET INFLOWS OF £6.2 BILLION, DRIVEN BY VERY HEALTHY M&G RETAIL NET INFLOWS OF £5.1 BILLION
|
· CAPITAL POSITION REMAINS STRONG - IGD SURPLUS ESTIMATED AT £3.4 BILLION 1
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
Group Insurance 2, 3
|
||||||
Sales - APE
|
£2,464m
|
£1,980m
|
24%
|
£809m
|
£689m
|
17%
|
New Business Profit4
|
£1,345m
|
£1,116m
|
21%
|
|||
Margin - APE %
|
55%
|
56%
|
(1)pt
|
|||
Investment Net Inflows
|
£6.2bn
|
£13.0bn
|
(52%)
|
£1.8bn
|
£2.9bn
|
(39%)
|
2 Asia 2010 and 2009 comparative APE new business sales and new business profit exclude the Taiwan agency business disposed of during Q2 2009 and the Japanese insurance operations which we have closed to new business from 15 February 2010
|
3 Unless otherwise stated all growth rates are on a sterling basis. Growth rates on constant currency are presented on schedule 1B of the Interim Management Statement
|
4 For Q3 2010 we have presented year to date new business profit and margin for the period ended 30 September 2010 and the comparative period. The assumptions underlying new business profit are presented in schedule 5 to the Interim Management Statement
|
Sales - APE
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
Insurance
|
||||||
Asia6
|
£1,066m
|
£806m
|
32%
|
£353m
|
£282m
|
25%
|
US
|
£850m
|
£640m
|
33%
|
£290m
|
£249m
|
16%
|
UK
|
£548m
|
£534m
|
3%
|
£166m
|
£158m
|
5%
|
Total Group Insurance
|
£2,464m
|
£1,980m
|
24%
|
£809m
|
£689m
|
17%
|
New Business Profit7
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
|||
Asia
|
£621m
|
£465m
|
34%
|
|||
US
|
£532m
|
£482m
|
10%
|
|||
UK
|
£192m
|
£169m
|
14%
|
|||
Total Group Insurance
|
£1,345m
|
£1,116m
|
21%
|
|||
Margin - APE %
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
|||
Asia
|
58%
|
58%
|
-
|
|||
US
|
63%
|
75%
|
(12)pts
|
|||
UK
|
35%
|
32%
|
3pts
|
|||
Total Group Insurance
|
55%
|
56%
|
(1)pt
|
|||
Investment Net Inflows
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change8 on Q3 09
|
M&G
|
£6.2bn
|
£11.1bn
|
(44%)
|
£1.5bn
|
£2.5bn
|
(39%)
|
Asia Asset Management
|
-
|
£1.9bn
|
(102%)
|
£0.3bn
|
£0.4bn
|
(39%)
|
Total
|
£6.2bn
|
£13.0bn
|
(52%)
|
£1.8bn
|
£2.9bn
|
(39%)
|
Asia
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
Sales - APE
|
£1,066m
|
£806m
|
32%
|
£353m
|
£282m
|
25%
|
New Business Profit
|
£621m
|
£465m
|
34%
|
|||
Margin - APE %
|
58%
|
58%
|
-
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£42m
|
£34m
|
24%
|
£15m
|
£13m
|
15%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£195m
|
£150m
|
30%
|
£65m
|
£55m
|
18%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£167m
|
£116m
|
44%
|
£48m
|
£40m
|
20%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£188m
|
£126m
|
49%
|
£59m
|
£43m
|
37%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£69m
|
£96m
|
(28)%
|
£23m
|
£30m
|
(23)%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£129m
|
£84m
|
54%
|
£52m
|
£32m
|
63%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£118m
|
£80m
|
48%
|
£43m
|
£29m
|
48%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£95m
|
£77m
|
23%
|
£25m
|
£26m
|
(4%)
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£64m
|
£43m
|
49%
|
£23m
|
£16m
|
44%
|
a) Insurance operations
|
US
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
Sales - APE
|
£850m
|
£640m
|
33%
|
£290m
|
£249m
|
16%
|
New Business Profit
|
£532m
|
£482m
|
10%
|
|||
Margin - APE %
|
63%
|
75%
|
(12)pts
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£683m
|
£432m
|
58%
|
£236m
|
£180m
|
31%
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£84m
|
£106m
|
(21%)
|
£24m
|
£48m
|
(50%)
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
APE
|
£65m
|
£84m
|
(23%)
|
£24m
|
£14m
|
71%
|
UK
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
Sales - APE
|
£548m
|
£534m
|
3%
|
£166m
|
£158m
|
5%
|
New Business Profit
|
£192m
|
£169m
|
14%
|
|||
Margin - APE %
|
35%
|
32%
|
3pts
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
Retail business net inflows
|
£5.1bn
|
£5.7bn
|
(11%)
|
£1,742m
|
£1,656m
|
5%
|
Institutional business net
inflows /(outflows)
|
£1.1bn
|
£5.4bn
|
(80%)
|
£(206)m
|
£856m
|
(124%)
|
Total net inflows
|
£6.2bn
|
£11.1bn
|
(44%)
|
£1,536m
|
£2,512m
|
(39%)
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
% change on YTD 09
|
Q3 2010
|
Q3 2009
|
% change on Q3 09
|
|
Retail and institutional business
net inflows
|
£1,734m
|
£127m
|
1265%
|
£407m
|
£320m
|
27%
|
Money Market Funds net
(outflows) / inflows (MMF)
|
£(1,766)m
|
£1,764m
|
(200%)
|
£(141)m
|
£115m
|
(223%)
|
|
· An instantaneous 20 per cent fall in equity markets from 30 September 2010 levels would reduce the IGD surplus by £150 million;
|
|
· A 40 per cent fall in equity markets (comprising an instantaneous 20 per cent fall followed by a further 20 per cent fall over a four week period) would reduce the IGD surplus by £700 million;
|
|
· A 150bps reduction (subject to a floor of zero) in interest rates would reduce the IGD surplus by £350 million;
|
|
· Credit defaults of ten times the expected level would reduce IGD surplus by £550 million.
|
Media
|
Investors/Analysts
|
||
Edward Brewster
|
+44 (0)20 7548 3719
|
David Collins
|
+44 (0)20 7548 2871
|
Robin Tozer
|
+44 (0)20 7548 2776
|
|
1. Asia 2010 and 2009 comparative APE new business sales and new business profit (NBP) exclude the Taiwan agency business disposed of during the second quarter of 2009 and the Japanese insurance operations which we have closed to new business with effect from 15 February 2010.
|
|
2. Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales comprise regular premium sales plus one-tenth of single premium insurance sales and are subject to rounding.
|
|
3. Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP) are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected new business premiums of regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
|
|
4. NBP assumptions for the period are detailed in the accompanying schedule 5. All references to NBP margins on pages 1 to 15 of this statement refer to margins on an APE basis, calculated as the ratio of new business profit to APE. New business profits are presented pre-tax.
|
|
5. There will be a conference call today for wire services at 7.30am (GMT) hosted by Tidjane Thiam, Group Chief Executive. Dial in telephone number: +44 (0)20 3140 0668. Passcode: 511722#.
|
|
6. There will be a conference call today for analysts and investors at 9:30am (GMT) hosted by Tidjane Thiam, Group Chief Executive. Dial in telephone number: +44 (0)20 3140 0668. Passcode: 862065#.
|
|
7. High resolution photographs are available to the media free of charge at www.newscast.co.uk (+44 (0)20 3137 9137) or by calling the media office on +44 (0)20 7548 2466.
|
|
8. Financial Calendar:
|
Investor Day
|
1 December 2010
|
2010 Full Year Results
|
9 March 2011
|
First Quarter 2011 New Business Release
|
27 April 2011
|
AGM
|
19 May 2011
|
2011 Half Year Results
|
2 August 2011
|
Third Quarter 2011 New Business Release
|
8 November 2011
|
|
9. Sales for overseas operations have been reported using average exchange rates for the period as shown in the attached schedules. Reference to prior year figures in the commentary is on an actual exchange rate basis unless stated. An alternative method of presentation is on a constant exchange rate basis.
|
|
10. Prudential plc is a company incorporated and with its principal place of business in England, and its affiliated companies constitute one of the world's leading financial services groups. It provides insurance and financial services through its subsidiaries and affiliates throughout the world. It has been in existence for over 160 years and has £309 billion in assets under management (as at 30 June 2010). Prudential plc is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc, a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America.
|
|
11. Forward-Looking Statements
|
Contents
|
Page
|
|
Schedule 1A
|
New Business Insurance Operations (Reported Exchange Rates)
|
18
|
Schedule 1B
|
New Business Insurance Operations (Current Exchange Rates)
|
19
|
Schedule 2A
|
Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (Reported Exchange Rates)
|
20
|
Schedule 2B
|
Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (Current Exchange Rates)
|
21
|
Schedule 3
|
Investment Operations - By Quarter (Reported Exchange Rates)
|
22
|
Schedule 4
|
New Business Profit and Margin (% APE and % PVNBP) (Reported Exchange Rates)
|
24
|
Schedule 5
|
EEV New Business Methodology and Assumptions
|
25
|
Schedule 6
|
Group Debt Securities at 30 September 2010
|
28
|
Schedule 7
|
Basis of preparation
|
32
|
Single
|
Regular
|
Annual Equivalents(3)
|
PVNBP
|
|||||||||
2010 Q3
YTD
|
2009 Q3
YTD
|
+/- (%)
|
2010 Q3
YTD
|
2009 Q3
YTD
|
+/- (%)
|
2010 Q3
YTD
|
2009 Q3
YTD
|
+/- (%)
|
2010 Q3
YTD
|
2009 Q3
YTD
|
+/-
(%)
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||||
Group Insurance Operations
|
||||||||||||
Asia - ex Japan(1a)
|
666
|
511
|
30%
|
999
|
755
|
32%
|
1,066
|
806
|
32%
|
5,071
|
3,987
|
27%
|
US(1a)
|
8,335
|
6,224
|
34%
|
17
|
18
|
(6%)
|
850
|
640
|
33%
|
8,457
|
6,360
|
33%
|
UK
|
3,525
|
3,512
|
0%
|
195
|
183
|
7%
|
548
|
534
|
3%
|
4,463
|
4,372
|
2%
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
12,526
|
10,247
|
22%
|
1,211
|
956
|
27%
|
2,464
|
1,980
|
24%
|
17,991
|
14,719
|
22%
|
Japan (1a)
|
11
|
50
|
(78%)
|
6
|
35
|
(83%)
|
7
|
40
|
(83%)
|
36
|
212
|
(83%)
|
Group Total
|
12,537
|
10,297
|
22%
|
1,217
|
991
|
23%
|
2,471
|
2,020
|
22%
|
18,027
|
14,931
|
21%
|
Asian Insurance Operations(1a)
|
||||||||||||
Hong Kong
|
59
|
64
|
(8%)
|
189
|
144
|
31%
|
195
|
150
|
30%
|
1,161
|
931
|
25%
|
Indonesia
|
69
|
24
|
188%
|
181
|
124
|
46%
|
188
|
126
|
49%
|
688
|
431
|
60%
|
Malaysia
|
29
|
50
|
(42%)
|
126
|
79
|
59%
|
129
|
84
|
54%
|
679
|
474
|
43%
|
Philippines
|
39
|
6
|
550%
|
12
|
7
|
71%
|
16
|
8
|
100%
|
68
|
23
|
196%
|
Singapore
|
206
|
162
|
27%
|
97
|
64
|
52%
|
118
|
80
|
48%
|
865
|
653
|
32%
|
Thailand
|
11
|
11
|
0%
|
19
|
10
|
90%
|
20
|
11
|
82%
|
71
|
40
|
78%
|
Vietnam
|
1
|
1
|
0%
|
28
|
24
|
17%
|
28
|
24
|
17%
|
106
|
88
|
20%
|
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
|
414
|
318
|
30%
|
652
|
452
|
44%
|
693
|
484
|
43%
|
3,638
|
2,640
|
38%
|
China(8)
|
80
|
58
|
38%
|
34
|
28
|
21%
|
42
|
34
|
24%
|
242
|
193
|
25%
|
India(5)
|
39
|
37
|
5%
|
163
|
112
|
46%
|
167
|
116
|
44%
|
458
|
409
|
12%
|
Korea
|
36
|
28
|
29%
|
65
|
93
|
(30%)
|
69
|
96
|
(28%)
|
356
|
454
|
(22%)
|
Taiwan
|
97
|
70
|
39%
|
85
|
70
|
21%
|
95
|
77
|
23%
|
377
|
291
|
30%
|
Total Asia Operations - ex Japan
|
666
|
511
|
30%
|
999
|
755
|
32%
|
1,066
|
806
|
32%
|
5,071
|
3,987
|
27%
|
US Insurance Operations(1a)
|
||||||||||||
Fixed Annuities
|
652
|
841
|
(22%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
65
|
84
|
(23%)
|
652
|
841
|
(22%)
|
Fixed Index Annuities
|
844
|
1,055
|
(20%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
84
|
106
|
(21%)
|
844
|
1,055
|
(20%)
|
Life
|
8
|
7
|
14%
|
17
|
18
|
(6%)
|
18
|
19
|
(5%)
|
130
|
143
|
(9%)
|
Variable Annuities
|
6,831
|
4,321
|
58%
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
683
|
432
|
58%
|
6,831
|
4,321
|
58%
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
8,335
|
6,224
|
34%
|
17
|
18
|
(6%)
|
850
|
640
|
33%
|
8,457
|
6,360
|
33%
|
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
||||||||||||
Direct and Partnership Annuities
|
501
|
424
|
18%
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
50
|
42
|
19%
|
501
|
424
|
18%
|
Intermediated Annuities
|
170
|
196
|
(13%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
17
|
20
|
(15%)
|
170
|
196
|
(13%)
|
Internal Vesting Annuities
|
930
|
1,023
|
(9%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
93
|
102
|
(9%)
|
930
|
1,023
|
(9%)
|
Total Individual Annuities
|
1,601
|
1,643
|
(3%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
160
|
164
|
(2%)
|
1,601
|
1,643
|
(3%)
|
Corporate Pensions
|
194
|
143
|
36%
|
150
|
141
|
6%
|
169
|
155
|
9%
|
859
|
771
|
11%
|
On-shore Bonds
|
1,096
|
1,093
|
0%
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
110
|
109
|
1%
|
1,097
|
1,095
|
0%
|
Other Products
|
606
|
604
|
0%
|
45
|
42
|
7%
|
106
|
102
|
4%
|
878
|
834
|
5%
|
Wholesale
|
28
|
29
|
(3%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
3
|
3
|
0%
|
28
|
29
|
(3%)
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Ops
|
3,525
|
3,512
|
0%
|
195
|
183
|
7%
|
548
|
534
|
3%
|
4,463
|
4,372
|
2%
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
12,526
|
10,247
|
22%
|
1,211
|
956
|
27%
|
2,464
|
1,980
|
24%
|
17,991
|
14,719
|
22%
|
Single
|
Regular
|
Annual Equivalents(3)
|
PVNBP
|
|||||||||
Q3 2010
YTD
|
Q3 2009
YTD
|
+/- (%)
|
Q3 2010
YTD
|
Q3 2009
YTD
|
+/- (%)
|
Q3 2010
YTD
|
Q3 2009
YTD
|
+/- (%)
|
Q3 2010
YTD
|
Q3 2009
YTD
|
+/-
(%)
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||||
Group Insurance Operations
|
||||||||||||
Asia - ex Japan(1b)
|
666
|
542
|
23%
|
999
|
814
|
23%
|
1,066
|
868
|
23%
|
5,071
|
4,261
|
19%
|
US(1b)
|
8,335
|
6,258
|
33%
|
17
|
18
|
(6%)
|
850
|
644
|
32%
|
8,457
|
6,397
|
32%
|
UK
|
3,525
|
3,512
|
0%
|
195
|
183
|
7%
|
548
|
534
|
3%
|
4,463
|
4,372
|
2%
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
12,526
|
10,312
|
21%
|
1,211
|
1,015
|
19%
|
2,464
|
2,046
|
20%
|
17,991
|
15,030
|
20%
|
Japan(1b)
|
11
|
53
|
(81%)
|
6
|
38
|
(84%)
|
7
|
43
|
(84%)
|
36
|
226
|
(85%)
|
Group Total
|
12,537
|
10,365
|
21%
|
1,217
|
1,053
|
16%
|
2,471
|
2,089
|
18%
|
18,027
|
15,256
|
18%
|
Asian Insurance Operations(1b)
|
||||||||||||
Hong Kong
|
59
|
64
|
(8%)
|
189
|
144
|
31%
|
195
|
150
|
30%
|
1,161
|
935
|
24%
|
Indonesia
|
69
|
28
|
146%
|
181
|
145
|
25%
|
188
|
148
|
27%
|
688
|
506
|
36%
|
Malaysia
|
29
|
55
|
(47%)
|
126
|
87
|
45%
|
129
|
93
|
39%
|
679
|
521
|
30%
|
Philippines
|
39
|
6
|
550%
|
12
|
7
|
71%
|
16
|
8
|
100%
|
68
|
24
|
183%
|
Singapore
|
206
|
174
|
18%
|
97
|
69
|
41%
|
118
|
86
|
37%
|
865
|
699
|
24%
|
Thailand
|
11
|
12
|
(8%)
|
19
|
11
|
73%
|
20
|
12
|
67%
|
71
|
43
|
65%
|
Vietnam
|
1
|
-
|
0%
|
28
|
23
|
22%
|
28
|
23
|
22%
|
106
|
82
|
29%
|
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
|
414
|
339
|
22%
|
652
|
486
|
34%
|
693
|
520
|
33%
|
3,638
|
2,810
|
29%
|
China(8)
|
80
|
58
|
38%
|
34
|
29
|
17%
|
42
|
35
|
20%
|
242
|
195
|
24%
|
India(5)
|
39
|
40
|
(3%)
|
163
|
120
|
36%
|
167
|
124
|
35%
|
458
|
437
|
5%
|
Korea
|
36
|
31
|
16%
|
65
|
106
|
(39%)
|
69
|
109
|
(37%)
|
356
|
513
|
(31%)
|
Taiwan
|
97
|
74
|
31%
|
85
|
73
|
16%
|
95
|
80
|
19%
|
377
|
306
|
23%
|
Total Asia Operations - ex Japan
|
666
|
542
|
23%
|
999
|
814
|
23%
|
1,066
|
868
|
23%
|
5,071
|
4,261
|
19%
|
US Insurance Operations(1b)
|
||||||||||||
Fixed Annuities
|
652
|
846
|
(23%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
65
|
85
|
(24%)
|
652
|
846
|
(23%)
|
Fixed Index Annuities
|
844
|
1,061
|
(20%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
84
|
106
|
(21%)
|
844
|
1,061
|
(20%)
|
Life
|
7
|
5
|
40%
|
17
|
18
|
(6%)
|
18
|
19
|
(5%)
|
130
|
144
|
(10%)
|
Variable Annuities
|
6,831
|
4,346
|
57%
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
683
|
435
|
57%
|
6,831
|
4,346
|
57%
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
8,335
|
6,258
|
33%
|
17
|
18
|
(6%)
|
850
|
644
|
32%
|
8,457
|
6,397
|
32%
|
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
||||||||||||
Direct and Partnership Annuities
|
501
|
424
|
18%
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
50
|
42
|
19%
|
501
|
424
|
18%
|
Intermediated Annuities
|
170
|
196
|
(13%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
17
|
20
|
(15%)
|
170
|
196
|
(13%)
|
Internal Vesting Annuities
|
930
|
1,023
|
(9%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
93
|
102
|
(9%)
|
930
|
1,023
|
(9%)
|
Total Individual Annuities
|
1,601
|
1,643
|
(3%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
160
|
164
|
(2%)
|
1,601
|
1,643
|
(3%)
|
Corporate Pensions
|
194
|
143
|
36%
|
150
|
141
|
6%
|
169
|
155
|
9%
|
859
|
771
|
11%
|
On-shore Bonds
|
1,096
|
1,093
|
0%
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
110
|
109
|
1%
|
1,097
|
1,095
|
0%
|
Other Products
|
606
|
604
|
0%
|
45
|
42
|
7%
|
106
|
102
|
4%
|
878
|
834
|
5%
|
Wholesale
|
28
|
29
|
(3%)
|
-
|
-
|
0%
|
3
|
3
|
0%
|
28
|
29
|
(3%)
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Ops
|
3,525
|
3,512
|
0%
|
195
|
183
|
7%
|
548
|
534
|
3%
|
4,463
|
4,372
|
2%
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
12,526
|
10,312
|
21%
|
1,211
|
1,015
|
19%
|
2,464
|
2,046
|
20%
|
17,991
|
15,030
|
20%
|
2009
|
2010
|
||||||
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Group Insurance Operations
|
|||||||
Asia - ex Japan(1a)(7)
|
276
|
248
|
282
|
403
|
359
|
354
|
353
|
US(1a)(7)
|
184
|
208
|
249
|
272
|
255
|
305
|
290
|
UK
|
180
|
197
|
158
|
189
|
193
|
189
|
166
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
640
|
652
|
689
|
864
|
807
|
848
|
809
|
Japan(1a)(7)
|
17
|
12
|
11
|
12
|
7
|
0
|
0
|
Group Total
|
656
|
664
|
700
|
876
|
814
|
848
|
809
|
Asian Insurance Operations(1a)(7)
|
|||||||
Hong Kong
|
46
|
49
|
55
|
91
|
68
|
62
|
65
|
Indonesia
|
38
|
46
|
43
|
64
|
61
|
68
|
59
|
Malaysia
|
24
|
29
|
32
|
62
|
36
|
41
|
52
|
Philippines
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
Singapore
|
22
|
30
|
29
|
48
|
33
|
42
|
43
|
Thailand
|
4
|
3
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
8
|
7
|
Vietnam
|
5
|
9
|
9
|
11
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
|
141
|
168
|
175
|
284
|
216
|
236
|
242
|
China(8)
|
11
|
11
|
13
|
11
|
14
|
13
|
15
|
India(5)
|
56
|
20
|
40
|
52
|
73
|
46
|
48
|
Korea
|
37
|
29
|
30
|
26
|
22
|
24
|
23
|
Taiwan
|
31
|
20
|
26
|
30
|
34
|
35
|
25
|
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
276
|
248
|
282
|
403
|
359
|
354
|
353
|
US Insurance Operations(1a)(7)
|
|||||||
Fixed Annuities
|
48
|
22
|
14
|
21
|
18
|
24
|
24
|
Fixed Index Annuities
|
25
|
33
|
48
|
38
|
30
|
30
|
24
|
Life
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
Variable Annuities
|
105
|
147
|
180
|
207
|
201
|
246
|
236
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
184
|
208
|
249
|
272
|
255
|
305
|
290
|
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
|||||||
Direct and Partnership Annuities
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
20
|
16
|
14
|
Intermediated Annuities
|
6
|
8
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
Internal Vesting annuities
|
39
|
34
|
30
|
33
|
33
|
31
|
29
|
Total Individual Annuities
|
58
|
56
|
50
|
55
|
59
|
53
|
48
|
Corporate Pensions
|
52
|
62
|
41
|
55
|
60
|
62
|
48
|
On-shore Bonds
|
34
|
42
|
34
|
35
|
33
|
36
|
41
|
Other Products
|
35
|
35
|
33
|
41
|
40
|
38
|
27
|
Wholesale
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
3
|
1
|
-
|
2
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
180
|
197
|
158
|
189
|
193
|
189
|
166
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
640
|
652
|
689
|
864
|
807
|
848
|
809
|
2009
|
2010
|
||||||
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Group Insurance Operations
|
|||||||
Asia - ex Japan(1b)(7)
|
284
|
270
|
314
|
433
|
359
|
354
|
353
|
US(1b)(7)
|
173
|
209
|
262
|
287
|
255
|
305
|
290
|
UK
|
180
|
197
|
158
|
189
|
193
|
189
|
166
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
636
|
675
|
735
|
908
|
807
|
848
|
809
|
Japan(1b)(7)
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
7
|
0
|
0
|
Group Total
|
652
|
690
|
748
|
921
|
814
|
848
|
809
|
Asian Insurance Operations(1b)(7)
|
|||||||
Hong Kong
|
43
|
49
|
58
|
95
|
68
|
62
|
65
|
Indonesia
|
45
|
54
|
49
|
72
|
61
|
68
|
59
|
Malaysia
|
24
|
32
|
37
|
70
|
36
|
41
|
52
|
Philippines
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
Singapore
|
22
|
32
|
32
|
50
|
33
|
42
|
43
|
Thailand
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
8
|
7
|
Vietnam
|
5
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
|
144
|
183
|
193
|
306
|
216
|
236
|
242
|
China(8)
|
11
|
11
|
14
|
12
|
14
|
13
|
15
|
India(5)
|
56
|
23
|
45
|
55
|
73
|
46
|
48
|
Korea
|
42
|
32
|
35
|
26
|
22
|
24
|
23
|
Taiwan
|
31
|
22
|
28
|
34
|
34
|
35
|
25
|
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
284
|
270
|
314
|
433
|
359
|
354
|
353
|
US Insurance Operations(1b)(7)
|
|||||||
Fixed Annuities
|
45
|
23
|
16
|
23
|
18
|
24
|
24
|
Fixed Index Annuities
|
23
|
33
|
50
|
40
|
30
|
30
|
24
|
Life
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
Variable Annuities
|
98
|
147
|
190
|
217
|
201
|
246
|
236
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
173
|
209
|
262
|
287
|
255
|
305
|
290
|
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
|||||||
Direct and Partnership Annuities
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
20
|
16
|
14
|
Intermediated Annuities
|
6
|
8
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
Internal Vesting annuities
|
39
|
34
|
30
|
33
|
33
|
31
|
29
|
Total Individual Annuities
|
58
|
56
|
50
|
55
|
59
|
53
|
48
|
Corporate Pensions
|
52
|
62
|
41
|
55
|
60
|
62
|
48
|
On-shore Bonds
|
34
|
42
|
34
|
35
|
33
|
36
|
41
|
Other Products
|
35
|
35
|
33
|
41
|
40
|
38
|
27
|
Wholesale
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
3
|
1
|
-
|
2
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
180
|
197
|
158
|
189
|
193
|
189
|
166
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
636
|
675
|
735
|
908
|
807
|
848
|
809
|
2009
|
2010
|
||||||
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Group Investment Operations
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
62,279
|
61,703
|
72,336
|
85,016
|
89,780
|
96,746
|
96,015
|
Net Flows
|
2,725
|
7,344
|
2,898
|
2,450
|
1,203
|
3,173
|
1,802
|
- Gross Inflows
|
19,154
|
25,567
|
26,394
|
24,942
|
24,173
|
27,182
|
25,727
|
- Redemptions
|
(16,429)
|
(18,223)
|
(23,496)
|
(22,492)
|
(22,970)
|
(24,009)
|
(23,925)
|
Other Movements
|
(3,301)
|
3,289
|
9,782
|
2,314
|
5,763
|
(3,904)
|
6,634
|
Total Group Investment Operations
|
61,703
|
72,336
|
85,016
|
89,780
|
96,746
|
96,015
|
104,451
|
M&G
|
|||||||
Retail
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
19,142
|
19,671
|
23,324
|
28,504
|
31,059
|
34,069
|
33,724
|
Net Flows
|
2,207
|
1,863
|
1,656
|
1,790
|
1,454
|
1,922
|
1,742
|
- Gross Inflows
|
3,325
|
3,126
|
3,315
|
3,802
|
4,190
|
4,450
|
3,986
|
- Redemptions
|
(1,118)
|
(1,263)
|
(1,659)
|
(2,012)
|
(2,736)
|
(2,528)
|
(2,244)
|
Other Movements
|
(1,678)
|
1,790
|
3,524
|
765
|
1,556
|
(2,267)
|
2,766
|
Closing FUM
|
19,671
|
23,324
|
28,504
|
31,059
|
34,069
|
33,724
|
38,232
|
Institutional(4)
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
27,855
|
26,865
|
32,597
|
37,731
|
39,247
|
42,155
|
41,946
|
Net Flows
|
336
|
4,219
|
856
|
551
|
435
|
863
|
(206)
|
- Gross Inflows
|
1,083
|
5,097
|
2,495
|
2,632
|
2,151
|
2,581
|
1,630
|
- Redemptions
|
(747)
|
(878)
|
(1,639)
|
(2,081)
|
(1,716)
|
(1,718)
|
(1,836)
|
Other Movements
|
(1,326)
|
1,513
|
4,278
|
965
|
2,473
|
(1,072)
|
2,954
|
Closing FUM
|
26,865
|
32,597
|
37,731
|
39,247
|
42,155
|
41,946
|
44,694
|
Total M&G Investment Operations
|
46,536
|
55,921
|
66,235
|
70,306
|
76,224
|
75,670
|
82,926
|
Asia
|
|||||||
Equity/Bond/Other(9)
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
10,570
|
10,038
|
10,636
|
12,492
|
13,122
|
14,923
|
14,497
|
Net Flows
|
(370)
|
174
|
322
|
57
|
166
|
1,031
|
446
|
- Gross Inflows
|
911
|
1,083
|
1,725
|
1,512
|
1,713
|
3,414
|
3,248
|
- Redemptions
|
(1,281)
|
(909)
|
(1,403)
|
(1,455)
|
(1,547)
|
(2,383)
|
(2,802)
|
Other Movements
|
(162)
|
424
|
1,534
|
573
|
1,635
|
(1,457)
|
882
|
Closing FUM
|
10,038
|
10,636
|
12,492
|
13,122
|
14,923
|
14,497
|
15,825
|
Third Party Institutional Mandates
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
789
|
799
|
859
|
1,008
|
1,450
|
1,549
|
1,604
|
Net Flows
|
1
|
2
|
(2)
|
372
|
5
|
125
|
(39)
|
- Gross Inflows
|
24
|
10
|
5
|
378
|
12
|
137
|
14
|
- Redemptions
|
(23)
|
(8)
|
(7)
|
(6)
|
(7)
|
(12)
|
(53)
|
Other Movements
|
9
|
58
|
151
|
70
|
94
|
(70)
|
115
|
Closing FUM
|
799
|
859
|
1,008
|
1,450
|
1,549
|
1,604
|
1,680
|
MMF
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
3,873
|
4,286
|
4,882
|
5,281
|
4,902
|
4,050
|
4,244
|
Net Flows
|
554
|
1,095
|
115
|
(321)
|
(857)
|
(768)
|
(141)
|
- Gross Inflows
|
13,808
|
16,248
|
18,854
|
16,618
|
16,107
|
16,600
|
16,849
|
- Redemptions
|
(13,254)
|
(15,153)
|
(18,739)
|
(16,939)
|
(16,964)
|
(17,368)
|
(16,990)
|
Other Movements
|
(141)
|
(499)
|
284
|
(58)
|
5
|
962
|
(83)
|
Closing FUM
|
4,286
|
4,882
|
5,281
|
4,902
|
4,050
|
4,244
|
4,020
|
Total Asian Investment Operations
|
15,123
|
16,377
|
18,781
|
19,474
|
20,522
|
20,345
|
21,525
|
US
|
|||||||
Retail
|
|||||||
Opening FUM
|
50
|
44
|
38
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Net Flows
|
(3)
|
(9)
|
(49)
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
- Gross Inflows
|
3
|
3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
- Redemptions
|
(6)
|
(12)
|
(49)
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Other Movements
|
(3)
|
3
|
11
|
(1)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Closing FUM
|
44
|
38
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Curian Capital - FUM (6)
|
1,613
|
1,646
|
2,041
|
2,260
|
2,708
|
2,781
|
3,038
|
2009
|
2010
|
|||||||
Q1 YTD
|
Q2 YTD
|
Q3 YTD
|
Q4 YTD
|
Q1 YTD
|
Q2 YTD
|
Q3 YTD
|
||
Annual Equivalent(3)
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
276
|
524
|
806
|
1,209
|
359
|
713
|
1,066
|
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
184
|
392
|
640
|
912
|
255
|
560
|
850
|
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
180
|
376
|
534
|
723
|
193
|
382
|
548
|
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
640
|
1,292
|
1,980
|
2,844
|
807
|
1,655
|
2,464
|
|
Japan
|
17
|
29
|
40
|
52
|
7
|
7
|
7
|
|
Group Total
|
657
|
1,321
|
2,020
|
2,896
|
814
|
1,662
|
2,471
|
|
New business profit (2)
|
||||||||
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
136
|
286
|
465
|
725
|
183
|
396
|
621
|
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
140
|
292
|
482
|
664
|
175
|
361
|
532
|
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
60
|
122
|
169
|
230
|
69
|
135
|
192
|
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
336
|
700
|
1,116
|
1,619
|
427
|
892
|
1,345
|
|
Japan
|
(4)
|
(9)
|
(12)
|
(12)
|
(1)
|
(1)
|
(1)
|
|
Group Total
|
332
|
691
|
1,104
|
1,607
|
426
|
891
|
1,344
|
|
New business margin (% of APE)
|
||||||||
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
49%
|
55%
|
58%
|
60%
|
51%
|
56%
|
58%
|
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
76%
|
74%
|
75%
|
73%
|
69%
|
64%
|
63%
|
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
33%
|
32%
|
32%
|
32%
|
36%
|
35%
|
35%
|
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
53%
|
54%
|
56%
|
57%
|
53%
|
54%
|
55%
|
|
Japan
|
(24%)
|
(31%)
|
(30%)
|
(23%)
|
(14%)
|
(14%)
|
(14%)
|
|
Group Total
|
51%
|
52%
|
55%
|
56%
|
52%
|
54%
|
54%
|
|
PVNBP(3)
|
||||||||
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
1,297
|
2,551
|
3,987
|
5,982
|
1,581
|
3,316
|
5,071
|
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
1,840
|
3,889
|
6,360
|
9,048
|
2,538
|
5,569
|
8,457
|
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
1,490
|
3,062
|
4,372
|
5,902
|
1,557
|
3,081
|
4,463
|
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
4,627
|
9,502
|
14,719
|
20,932
|
5,676
|
11,966
|
17,991
|
|
Japan
|
82
|
155
|
212
|
263
|
32
|
34
|
36
|
|
Group Total
|
4,709
|
9,657
|
14,931
|
21,195
|
5,708
|
12,000
|
18,027
|
|
New business profit (2)
|
||||||||
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
136
|
286
|
465
|
725
|
183
|
396
|
621
|
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
140
|
292
|
482
|
664
|
175
|
361
|
532
|
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
60
|
122
|
169
|
230
|
69
|
135
|
192
|
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
336
|
700
|
1,116
|
1,619
|
427
|
892
|
1,345
|
|
Japan
|
(4)
|
(9)
|
(12)
|
(12)
|
(1)
|
(1)
|
(1)
|
|
Group Total
|
332
|
691
|
1,104
|
1,607
|
426
|
891
|
1,344
|
|
New business margin (% of PVNBP)
|
||||||||
Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan
|
10.5%
|
11.2%
|
11.7%
|
12.1%
|
11.6%
|
11.9%
|
12.2%
|
|
Total US Insurance Operations
|
7.6%
|
7.5%
|
7.6%
|
7.3%
|
6.9%
|
6.5%
|
6.3%
|
|
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
|
4.0%
|
4.0%
|
3.9%
|
3.9%
|
4.4%
|
4.4%
|
4.3%
|
|
Group Total - ex Japan
|
7.3%
|
7.4%
|
7.6%
|
7.7%
|
7.5%
|
7.5%
|
7.5%
|
|
Japan
|
(4.9%)
|
(5.8%)
|
(5.7%)
|
(4.6%)
|
(3.1%)
|
(2.9%)
|
(2.8%)
|
|
Group Total
|
7.1%
|
7.2%
|
7.4%
|
7.6%
|
7.5%
|
7.4%
|
7.5%
|
China
|
Hong Kong
|
India
|
Indonesia
|
Japan
|
Korea
|
Malaysia
|
Philippines
|
Singapore
|
Taiwan
|
Thailand
|
Vietnam
|
|
(notes ii, iv)
|
(notes iii, iv)
|
(note iv)
|
||||||||||
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
New business risk discount rate
|
10.5
|
4.2
|
12.5
|
13.7
|
-
|
6.8
|
8.6
|
15.75
|
6.3
|
7.7
|
13.75
|
15.75
|
Government bond yield
|
7.0
|
2.55
|
7.5
|
9.0
|
1.5
|
4.15
|
5.75
|
9.0
|
4.75
|
5.5
|
7.0
|
9.0
|
30 June 2010
|
||||||||||||
China
|
Hong Kong
|
India
|
Indonesia
|
Japan
|
Korea
|
Malaysia
|
Philippines
|
Singapore
|
Taiwan
|
Thailand
|
Vietnam
|
|
(notes ii, iv)
|
(notes iii, iv)
|
(note iv)
|
||||||||||
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
New business risk discount rate
|
10.5
|
4.6
|
12.5
|
13.7
|
-
|
7.8
|
8.5
|
15.75
|
6.3
|
7.7
|
13.75
|
15.75
|
Government bond yield
|
7.0
|
3.0
|
7.5
|
9.0
|
1.7
|
5.0
|
5.75
|
9.0
|
4.75
|
5.5
|
7.0
|
9.0
|
30 September 2009
|
||||||||||||
China
|
Hong Kong
|
India
|
Indonesia
|
Japan
|
Korea
|
Malaysia
|
Philippines
|
Singapore
|
Taiwan
|
Thailand
|
Vietnam
|
|
(notes ii, iv)
|
(notes iii, iv)
|
(note iv)
|
||||||||||
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
New business risk discount rate
|
11.75
|
4.9
|
14.25
|
15.25
|
5.1
|
9.35
|
8.9
|
15.75
|
5.6
|
9.0
|
13.0
|
16.75
|
Government bond yield
|
8.25
|
3.3
|
9.25
|
10.25
|
1.9
|
5.4
|
6.5
|
9.25
|
4.25
|
5.5
|
6.75
|
10.25
|
Asia Total
|
|||
30 Sep
2010
|
30 Jun
2010
|
30 Sep
2009
|
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
New business weighted risk discount rate (note (i)) (excluding Japan)
|
8.9
|
9.1
|
9.2
|
Notes
|
|
i
|
The weighted risk discount rates for Asian operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the EEV basis new business result.
|
ii
|
The assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business which comprises the largest proportion of the Hong Kong business.
|
iii
|
The risk discount rate for Malaysia reflects both the Malaysia life and Takaful operations.
|
iv
|
The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings in the Asian operations were:
|
30 Sep
2010
|
30 Jun
2010
|
30 Sep
2009
|
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Hong Kong
|
6.55
|
7.0
|
7.3
|
Malaysia
|
11.7
|
11.7
|
12.4
|
Singapore
|
10.7
|
10.7
|
10.2
|
|
|
30 Sep
2010
%
|
30 Jun
2010
%
|
30 Sep
2009
%
|
|
Assumed new business spread margins: note ii
|
|||
Fixed Annuity business (including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account):note i
|
|||
First five years:
|
|||
January to June issues
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
2.75
|
July to September issues
|
2.0
|
n/a
|
2.25
|
Long-term assumption
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
Fixed Index Annuity business
|
|||
January to June issues
|
2.5
|
2.5
|
3.5
|
July to September issues
|
2.5
|
n/a
|
2.5
|
New business risk discount rate
|
|||
Variable annuity
|
7.0
|
7.5
|
7.3
|
Non-variable annuity
|
4.8
|
5.3
|
4.1
|
Weighted average total
|
6.7
|
7.2
|
6.3
|
US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of period
|
2.55
|
3.0
|
3.3
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
|
6.5
|
7.0
|
7.3
|
|
i For the period ended 30 September 2009, the spread assumptions for new tranches of fixed annuity business (including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account) include a provision that crediting rates and spreads will normalise in the future. Thus, the assumption for new business spreads shown above applies for the first five years before normalising over the following 10 years to the long-term assumption of 2.0 per cent. The valuation of new business takes into account an assumed associated risk of increased lapse under certain interest rate scenarios.
|
|
|
|
ii Credit risk treatment
|
|
The projected cash flows incorporate the expected long-term spread between the earned rate and the rate credited to policyholders. The projected earned rates reflect book value yields which are adjusted over time to reflect projected reinvestment rates. Positive net cash flows are assumed to be reinvested in a mix of corporate bonds, commercial mortgages and limited partnerships. The yield on those assets is assumed to grade from the current level to a yield that allows for a long-term assumed credit spread of 1.25 per cent over 10 years. The expected spread on new business has been determined after allowing for a Risk Margin Reserve (RMR) allowance of 25 basis points for longer-term defaults for all periods shown above.
|
|
|
30 Sep 2010
%
|
30 June 2010
%
|
30 Sep 2009
%
|
|
Shareholder-backed annuity business:note i
|
|||
New business risk discount rate
|
7.1
|
7.3
|
8.8
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return:
|
|||
Fixed annuities
|
4.9
|
5.0
|
5.9
|
Inflation-linked annuities
|
5.3
|
5.1
|
6.0
|
Other business:
|
|||
New business risk discount rate note ii
|
6.35
|
6.6
|
7.3
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return:
|
|||
UK equities
|
7.5
|
8.0
|
7.95
|
Gilts
|
3.5
|
4.0
|
3.95
|
Corporate bonds
|
5.2
|
5.6
|
5.4
|
Post-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for the PAC with-profits fund:
|
|||
Pension business (where no tax applies)
|
6.1
|
6.5
|
6.5
|
Life business
|
5.3
|
5.7
|
5.7
|
|
i For Prudential's UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows. In the annuity MCEV calculations, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on Prudential's assessment of the expected return on the assets backing the annuity liabilities after allowing for expected long-term defaults, credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults. For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for expected long-term defaults and, where necessary, an additional allowance for an element of short-term downgrades and defaults to bring the allowance in the earned rate up to best estimate levels. The allowances for credit risk premium and additional short-term default allowance are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate. The credit assumptions used in the MCEV calculations and the residual liquidity premium element of the bond spread over swap rates for shareholder-backed annuity new business are as follows:
|
|
|
30 Sep 2010 (bps)
|
30 Jun 2010 (bps)
|
30 Sep 2009 (bps)
|
|
Bond spread over swap rates
|
116
|
110
|
216
|
Total credit risk allowance
|
37
|
37
|
53
|
Liquidity premium
|
79
|
73
|
163
|
|
|
|
ii The risk discount rates for new business for UK insurance operations other than shareholder-backed annuities reflect weighted rates based on the type of business.
|
With-profit
|
Unit-linked and variable annuity
|
Other shareholder backed business
|
Total
|
|
(note 1a)
|
(note 1a)
|
|||
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
|
UK insurance operations (Notes 1b and 1c)
|
46.4
|
4.9
|
21.6
|
72.9
|
Jackson National Life (Notes 1d and 3)
|
-
|
-
|
27.3
|
27.3
|
Asia insurance operations
|
3.1
|
2.5
|
3.9
|
9.5
|
Other operations
|
-
|
-
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
Total
|
49.5
|
7.4
|
54.3
|
111.2
|
|
1(c) For UK annuity business provision is made for possible future credit related losses. At 30 September 2010, a provision of £1.8 billion was held.
|
30 Sept 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Government Securities
|
2,784
|
2,669
|
Corporate securities (95% investment grade)
|
17,962
|
17,782
|
Residential mortgage backed securities (60% government agency; 23% for pre 2006/2007 vintages; £521m for 2006/2007 vintages of which £407m is for the senior part of the capital structure)
|
3,144
|
3,343
|
Commercial mortgage backed securities
|
2,429
|
2,494
|
Other debt securities
|
983
|
1,083
|
Total
|
27,302
|
27,371
|
Defaults
|
Bond write downs
|
Losses on sales of impaired and deteriorating bonds (net of recoveries)
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Corporate debt securities
|
-
|
1
|
-
|
Residential mortgage backed securities
|
-
|
-
|
|
Prime
|
-
|
2
|
-
|
Alt-A
|
-
|
4
|
-
|
Sub-prime
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Other
|
-
|
19
|
(3)
|
Total
|
-
|
26
|
(3)
|
|
|
a) Movements in the values for the 3 months to 30 September 2010:
|
Change reflected in other comprehensive income
|
|||||||
30 September 2010
|
Movement in Quarter 3
|
Foreign exchange translation*
|
Quarter 3 including Foreign exchange
|
30 June 2010
|
|||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||
Assets fair valued at below book value
|
|||||||
Book value
|
2,290
|
(1,335)
|
(171)
|
(1,506)
|
3,796
|
||
Unrealised loss
|
(375)
|
121
|
25
|
146
|
(521)
|
||
Fair value (as included in the balance sheet)
|
1,915
|
(1,214)
|
(146)
|
(1,360)
|
3,275
|
||
Assets fair valued at or above book value
|
|||||||
Book value
|
23,022
|
1,903
|
(1,157)
|
746
|
22,276
|
||
Unrealised gain
|
2,305
|
710
|
(97)
|
613
|
1,692
|
||
Fair value (as included in the balance sheet)
|
25,327
|
2,613
|
(1,254)
|
1,359
|
23,968
|
||
Total
|
|||||||
Book value
|
25,312
|
568
|
(1,328)
|
(760)
|
26,072
|
||
Net unrealised gain
|
1,930
|
831
|
(72)
|
759
|
1,171
|
||
Fair value (as included in the balance sheet)
|
27,242
|
1,399
|
(1,400)
|
(1)
|
27,243
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
|||||
30 Sept 2010
|
30 Sept 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
|||||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||||
Between 90% and 100%
|
1,159
|
(41)
|
2,133
|
(70)
|
||||
Between 80% and 90%
|
372
|
(57)
|
661
|
(111)
|
||||
Below 80%
|
384
|
(277)
|
481
|
(340)
|
||||
1,915
|
(375)
|
3,275
|
(521)
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
|||||
30 Sept 2010
|
30 Sept 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
|||||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||||
Between 90% and 100%
|
122
|
(8)
|
118
|
(6)
|
||||
Between 80% and 90%
|
60
|
(10)
|
95
|
(16)
|
||||
Below 80%
|
77
|
(32)
|
103
|
(48)
|
||||
259
|
(50)
|
316
|
(70)
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
|||||
30 Sept 2010
|
30 Sept 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
|||||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||||
Less than 3 months
|
32
|
(9)
|
36
|
(11)
|
||||
3 months to 6 months
|
15
|
(5)
|
6
|
(3)
|
||||
More than 6 months
|
337
|
(263)
|
439
|
(326)
|
||||
384
|
(277)
|
481
|
(340)
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
||||
30 Sept 2010
|
30 Sept 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
30 June 2010
|
||||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
||||
RMBS
|
|||||||
Prime
|
103
|
(49)
|
144
|
(66)
|
|||
Alt-A
|
20
|
(6)
|
39
|
(15)
|
|||
Sub-prime
|
57
|
(26)
|
64
|
(33)
|
|||
Total
|
180
|
(81)
|
247
|
(114)
|
|||
Commercial mortgage backed securities
|
13
|
(32)
|
26
|
(57)
|
|||
Other asset backed securities
|
136
|
(137)
|
135
|
(142)
|
|||
Total structured securities
|
329
|
(250)
|
408
|
(313)
|
|||
Corporates
|
55
|
(27)
|
73
|
(27)
|
|||
Total
|
384
|
(277)
|
481
|
(340)
|
(1a)
|
Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations has been calculated using average exchange rates. The applicable rate for Jackson for the nine months ended 30 September 2010 is 1.53.
|
(1b)
|
Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations has been calculated using constant exchange rates. The applicable rate for Jackson for the nine months ended 30 September 2010 is 1.53.
|
(2)
|
New business values are all presented pre-tax.
|
(3)
|
Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent single new business contributions, are subject to roundings. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.
|
(4)
|
Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.
|
(5)
|
New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
|
(6)
|
Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.
|
(7)
|
Sales are converted using the year to date average exchange rate applicable at the time. The sterling results for individual quarters in 2009 represent the difference between the year to date reported sterling results at successive quarters and will include foreign exchange movements from earlier periods.
|
(8)
|
New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
|
(9)
|
Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.
|
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
|
|
By: /s/Clive Burns
|
|
Clive Burns
|
|
Head of Group Secretariat
|